Sudan: Power-Sharing Arrangement Agreed, but the Fate of Sudan Remains Uncertain

by Abdul Hussain

Sudan’s current makeshift military leadership (“ruling military council” (sic)), and the pro-democracy protestors have decided to implement a power-sharing arrangement in the hopes to terminate the political crisis that has happened since Sudan’s military forces overthrew Omar al-Bashir – the same political crisis that led to deaths of several civilians and has led to the social media campaign #blueforsudan

As per the reports from The Independent (via Yahoo), BBC News, and ABC (USA) News, the agreement consists of ten members, with an equal representative split consisting of five members representing Sudan’s military council, and five members representing Sudan’s pro-democracy movement, with ABC News reporting that an 11th member of the council being a civilian that is chosen and approved by both sides of the transitional leadership partnership. As for the duration of the arrangement in question, it will run for 39 months, with the military side in leadership duty for the first 21 months of the setup, with the civilian-led side taking the helm for the remaining 18 months of the transitional leadership period, and in addition to the leadership arrangement, both sides were reported to also investigate into the matters that led to the post-overthrow violence, and elections will take place once the transitional leadership period has elapsed.

However, there was some concerns and doubts with regards to the agreement being made and how that would help improve the geopolitical climate in Sudan, with Sudanese veteran politician Siddig Yousif branding this process as merely “the first step in building a democratic country”, and that “It is a difficult task, but we’ll try to convince our people that it will be a success”, and with factors like one-time militia commander Abdel Fattah al-Burhan remaining to be an active member in the Sudanese political scene and aspiring to look up to the USA for strengthening ties with said country, the reputation that the USA has when it comes to foreign policy (Iran, Syria, Iraq – especially when done to please Israeli political forces, alongside Wesley Clark’s “7 Countries in 5 Years” comments), the weakened Sudanese economy, exacerbated by the southern part of former Sudan becoming an independent South Sudan, with US help (H/T Scott Creighton for the reminder) – the very same section that is known for its oil assets, and with certain political factions in Sudan  already expressing disapproval over the new arrangement, it is no wonder that the scepticism and doubts are understandable in such a situation.

The only notable guaranteed upside to the Sudanese political crisis though, is the fact that Sudanese protestors have decided to call off protests to honour the transitional leadership agreement, but that is sadly not saying much, other than a brief moment of glee, and the future of Sudan remains uncertain for the aforementioned reasons, not to mention how peaceful Sudan will be as a country in the future, if any political changes turn out to result in blissful peace rather than bloody chaos and divisional lunacy.

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